Tag Archives: International

The US path to energy independence in three charts

It’s the big news of the week. “The IEA believes that the US will overtake Saudi Arabia in oil output” by 2030.

First, the IEA definition of crude oil is “crude oil including lease condensate”. Does this matter?. To some, yes. Not to me. Differentiating condensate and natural gas liquids from crude reminds me of the debate of oil sands versus API 35 oil. Whatever goes into your tank and makes the car run, baby. EROEI?. Sure, still very strong as shown in my post here (read). My biggest issue is to think EROEI is static and will not improve, when shale gas has gone from 3 to 1 to 6 to 1 in many areas. Continue reading The US path to energy independence in three charts

Energy Efficiency in US: Hard to Believe?

White line is US GDP, orange – unemployment, red – oil demand, yellow – gasoline demand, green – gas demand.

  • US 2001 – 2011
  • GDP +6.3%
  • Gasoline demand +0.06%
  • Oil demand: +0.05%
  • Gas demand +2.6%.
Pretty impressive
Efficiency
Now It’s Illegal in the U.S. to Sell a 100 Watt Bulb: What Are the Implications for Power Demand?

The introduction of new lighting in the US will take aggregate demand growth to zero or negative over the implementation period, eg, the next 4-5 years. General Lighting is a big slice of the pie (like 12%) and a lot of the US simply never switched over to incandescent (eg, residential, and some commercial). Will have less of an impact on Europe.

Incidentally, many will make the argument that new iPads and gizmos will offset losses, we keep buying stuff and plugging it in. While true, the devil is in the details…new LED TV replacements are obliterating like-for-like consumption, particularly against gen 1.0 plasmas. New refrigerators and heaters are substantially more energy efficient.

The Fiscal Cliff that Europe shouldn’t copy

(This article was published in El Confidencial on November 10th, 2012)

“Tonight, you voted for action, not politics as usual.” Barack Obama
“The American people responded by renewing our House Republican Majority …There’s no mandate for raising tax rates. ” John Boehner Continue reading The Fiscal Cliff that Europe shouldn’t copy