This is a video excerpt from my keynote speech at the Bloomberg annual conference “The Next Big Thing”. Continue reading “Crises Happen When We Believe There Is No Risk” Conference at Bloomberg “The Next Big Thing”
All posts by Daniel Lacalle
A US-China Trade Deal Will Likely Be A Zero-Sum Game
As I explained on CNBC:
Even the most optimistic assumptions are unlikely to change the trend of weak global growth.
Continue reading A US-China Trade Deal Will Likely Be A Zero-Sum Game
How Do We Go From Slowdown To A Crisis? World Economics Episode 8
In this episode of our video blog, we discuss what drives an economy to a crisis.
Governments always see the problem of the economy as a demand issue, and tend to create larger imbalances by pushing demand-side policies.
High Government Spending Leads To Stagnation
The idea that governments can’t lower taxes because there is a deficit, but are free to raise all expenses even if there is a deficit can be found in many political manifestos these days. Central planners always see the economic challenges as a problem of demand, and as such cringe at the idea of prudent investment and saving. When GDP growth, gross capital formation, and consumption are lower than what Keynesians would want, they always blame the alleged problem on “too much saving”, a ridiculous premise based on the perception that economic cycles and excess capacity do not matter and if companies and citizens don’t spend as much as the government wants, then the public sector should spend a lot more. Continue reading High Government Spending Leads To Stagnation