This year marks the 50th anniversary since Nixon suspended the convertibility of the USD into Gold. This began the era of a global fiat money debt-fueled economy. Since then, crises are more frequent but also shorter and always “solved” by adding more debt and more money printing.
All posts by Daniel Lacalle
China Crackdown is About Political Control
Despite high domestic economic growth and solid global recovery, the Chinese market is down on the year. At the close of this article, the Shanghai CSI 300 is down 5% vs the S&P 500’s +18%, and in the past five years, it has risen 51%, a decent but modest figure compared to the S&P 500’s +103%.
Paper: Public Stimulus Plans Rarely Work: The Evidence Since the Early 90’s
This paper was published in the Journal of Economics & Management Research

US: Disappointing Growth Shows Stimulus Diminishing Returns
The United States economy recovered at a 6.5% annualized rate in the second quarter of 2021, and gross domestic product (GDP) is now above the pre-pandemic level. This should be viewed as good news until we put it in the context of the largest fiscal and monetary stimulus in recent history.
With the Federal Reserve purchasing $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and $80 billion in Treasuries every month, and the deficit expected to run above $2 trillion, one thing is clear: The diminishing effect of the stimulus is not just staggering, the increasingly short impact of these programs is alarming.