Price controls, higher taxes, government intervention, and subsidies paid for by printing a constantly devalued currency.
These are the essential pillars of “21st century socialism” and the radical left Peronism that obliterated Argentina. These are also the main elements of the economic plan presented by Kamala Harris and the Democratic Party. Undoubtedly, this is the most radical socialist economic plan ever announced by the Democrats.
According to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB), Harris’s proposals will cost $1.95 trillion over 10 years. However, it emphasizes that if certain measures become permanent, this figure could increase to $2.25 trillion.
The Harris campaign has stated that these costs will be offset by a classic excuse of socialism in any election: “higher taxes on corporations and high earners.” This is, obviously, ludicrous, because there is no revenue measure that will cover the already bloated $2 trillion annual deficit and an added $2 trillion. The mantra of “higher taxes for the rich” always means higher taxes and more inflation, a hidden tax, for you.
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has already warned of the fiscal disaster of the United States, with an annual deficit of 6% of GDP. Despite not accounting for a recession and projecting record tax revenues from 2024 to 2034, the CBO predicts an explosion in the budget deficit from $1.9 trillion to $2.8 trillion by 2034, even before factoring in Harris’s new spending plan. This means that the adjusted deficit will rise above 6.9 percent of GDP by 2034, almost twice the average of 3.7 percent over the previous 50 years.
Following the Harris plan, the United States public debt will likely increase by $24 trillion in a decade. As I have explained, there is no set of revenue measures that can bring $2 trillion per year in additional tax receipts, and tax hikes will harm both investment and growth.
An economy that generates an annual deficit of 6 percent of GDP to achieve a mere 2 percent annual growth is already on a dangerous path, and Harris’ plan would make it even worse.
Kamala Harris promises to cut inflation by spending and printing more money, reducing competition, and attacking businesses. It has never worked and never will because it is upside-down economics. Welcome to the U.S. “Peronism.”.
Imagine all those United States citizens who have escaped Latin American or European economies impoverished by interventionism to find a better opportunity in the United States only to find that the same policies will be implemented by Harris.
The narrative of price gouging and greedflation is simply false. In 2023, profit margins in the grocery industry hit the lowest level since 2019, at 1.6%, according to the IMF. Corporations, even if they were stupid and reckless, cannot make all prices rise constantly. Competition would eat away at their market share; newcomers would eliminate them, and aggregate prices would fall. Furthermore, stores and businesses cannot make aggregate prices soar, maintain the increase, and consolidate it, which is the measure of inflation (CPI) we read every month. The only thing that can make all prices rise and continue increasing at a slower pace is printing money and eroding the purchasing power of the currency.
The only thing that can make aggregate prices rise constantly is the destruction of the purchasing power of the currency, which comes from massive government spending and printing currency to disguise fiscal imbalances.
Kamala Harris and her team know that their spending plan will make the national debt soar and that price controls do not reduce prices. In fact, these should not be called “price controls” but “limits to competition.” If corporations were the cause of inflation and price controls were the solution, Peronist Argentina would have enjoyed the lowest inflation in the world in the past decades.
Harris’ proposals to forgive debt are profoundly anti-social. They do not forgive any debt; they just add it to the national debt and make you pay for it. This enormous increase in public debt will be a burden for every American, particularly the poorest, with persistent inflation and lower real wages. US citizens have already endured negative real wage growth since January 2021, when Biden took office, according to the Federal reserve of St Louis. Expect worse.
Why does Harris promote the same policies that have failed everywhere? Promising free stuff and blaming others for the negative consequences is the defining strategy of socialist politicians.
Are you surprised to see how Germany, France, and other historically rich nations slump into stagnation, high debt, persistent inflation, enormous taxes, and the destruction of the middle class? Those policies are what Harris is promising. Who benefits? The vast government and its surrounding corporations reap the benefits.
Many people hold the belief that a nation cannot be considered socialist if it contains private companies. It makes no sense. State control does not limit itself to capital ownership but also to the imposition of increasingly restrictive laws, regulations, and confiscatory taxes. In fact, the government likes to absorb most of the wealth created by the private sector without the inconvenience of managing the businesses. Huerta de Soto defines socialism as “any system of institutional, methodical aggression against the free exercise of entrepreneurship” and that is precisely what Harris promises.
Higher taxes and more debt.
The government will print money to provide subsidies in a currency that is constantly losing value. It will blame stores and businesses for inflation. Interventionist policies will continue to erode the private sector. And they will repeat.
The makers of these policies are aware that they will negatively impact the economy, yet they will also engender a substantial number of enslaved citizens who rely on the government and must abide by its decisions. Voters see an alleged tsunami of free money but ignore the fact that they will pay for it through higher inflation, lower real wages, and diminishing opportunities for small businesses and families.
The Harris team believes deficits do not matter and that the Federal Reserve can always disguise any budget imbalance. However, cracks have already appeared. Persistent inflation is the consequence of years of excessive spending and monetization. The next step is the risk of losing the U.S. dollar as the world reserve currency when the world stops accepting the ever-increasing debt.
Politicians making promises to get votes?
From movie Casablanca:
“I’m shocked to find out that gambling is going on!”
The Rise of the Red Fascists
https://amgreatness.com/2024/08/18/the-rise-of-the-red-fascists/
Hi Daniel,
These are both great articles. Please “connect the dots” for Americans believing that Socialism / Communism (is there any difference really?) is wonderful. They’re being indoctrinated (read: brainwashed) in public schools, both K-12 + Universities. The U.S. is following the script of The 10 Planks of the Communist Manifesto by Karl Marx, and yet no one seems to notice.
https://www.dlacalle.com/en/sanctions-did-not-destroy-venezuela-socialism-did/
Sanctions did not destroy Venezuela. Socialism did.
28 July, 2024
https://www.dlacalle.com/en/american-peronism-kamala-harris-radical-left-plan-to-ruin-america/
American Peronism. Kamala Harris’ Radical Left Plan to Ruin America.
18 August, 2024
Also, please tie in Javier Milei and the coming rebirth of Argentina as a free market economy. The Left doesn’t want that story to get out, because “shut up!”.
If comrade Kamala wins the U.S. Presidential election on Nov. 5th, then the nation is doomed to follow down the path of Venezuela and into the abyss of totalitarian Socialism. The only thing that might save us then is the Second Amendment of the U.S. Constitution. It is for this very purpose that it was included therein. The right to bear arms. Reference article here:
https://www.shootingnewsweekly.com/2024/07/30/the-real-lesson-of-venezuela-never-ever-give-up-your-guns/
The Real Lesson of Venezuela: Never EVER Give Up Your Guns
Lee Williams
July 30, 2024
This article presents an ideologically biased interpretation of Kamala Harris’ economic policies. Labeling these policies as “Peronism” and drawing parallels to Argentina’s economic struggles ignores key differences in economic context, policy implementation, and governmental structure between the United States and Argentina.
Firstly, the characterization of Harris’ plans as the most radical socialist agenda overlooks the nature of proposed fiscal measures which are actually aligned with mainstream economic strategies employed by numerous developed nations, including those in Europe that advocate for progressive taxation and social welfare programs to buffer inequality.
The reference to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) and Congressional Budget Office (CBO) figures needs to be viewed in the broader context of economic returns on government investment in social programs and infrastructure, which can spur long-term economic growth and stability, rather than just short-term fiscal balances.
Moreover, the assertion that higher taxes on corporations and wealthy individuals will lead to economic downturns does not align with historical evidence. For instance, economic periods characterized by higher tax rates for the rich, such as the post-World War II era in the U.S., often correlate with robust economic growth and higher levels of income equality.
It is crucial to engage with economic policy discussions with a balanced perspective that considers both the costs and benefits of fiscal strategies, rather than reducing complex policies to misleading comparisons and sensationalist rhetoric.
Name me anything that she has proposed that was not part of Socialism of the 21st century. Furthermore, an unrealized capital gains tax and monster deficit is not “mainstream economics”.
Hello Daniel,
Splendid essay as usual. Have followed you a year or two now and always try to catch up on essays even if weeks later.
Your reply to the five paragraph post re the comparison of Harris policies to “Peronism” with the very concise two sentences was precious.
The poster’s arguments were well worded, sounded rational and thoughtful, and seemed well informed. But, after removing the generalities and too numerous and vague adjectives, (“crucial…balanced…complex…misleading…sensationalist”) the poster’s conclusions were just plain incorrect.
Thanks for being a consistent provider of information that does “add up”, that does not require magic mathematics.
Cheers,
an older engineer, businessman, and rancher