Many commentators cannot understand why Trump won the elections despite a robust economy. The reality is far more complex. I have repeatedly stated in my articles and TV appearances on Making Money (Fox News) and CNBC’s Squawkbox Europe that the U.S. economy was significantly weaker than the official headlines suggested. I called it a “private sector recession”.

Anyone who has delved into the supposedly solid headline figures can clearly see the real weakness of the U.S. economy. An unsustainable increase in government spending and federal debt bloated the official GDP, making gross domestic income significantly weaker than headline GDP. Additionally, the Conference Board and University of Michigan consumer confidence readings, well below 2019 and 2021 levels, indicated a stagnant economy. Significant negative revisions and concerning elements were evident in the job reports.

How do you create a recession?

Overheating the economy with a massive increase in government spending, disguising employment with public sector jobs, and soaring federal debt. The foundation of Neokeynesian economics always rests on the idea that an economy must prioritize government spending, leading to full blown socialism. When the economy is growing, government spending rises because, allegedly, it is time to borrow and grow. When the economy overheats and enters the inevitable recession, government spending must rise again because it needs to support growth. See? The size of government in the economy increases both during and after a recession. Taxes constantly rise, but debt rises faster. Upside-down economics.

The Biden-Harris administration has followed exactly the policies of the Greek, Spanish, and French socialists into an election year prior to their countries’ crises. The strategy involves inflating the GDP through excessive government spending, creating an uncontrollable deficit during a period of economic recovery, and masking employment through government jobs financed by increased debt. In the process, the printing of money results in the highest inflation in decades.

The insane neo-Keynesian policies implemented by the Biden-Harris administration have created persistent inflation and record levels of debt with two objectives: to bloat Gross Domestic Product and jobs with public spending and government jobs.

The United States’ insane inflation is solely due to out-of-control spending and currency printing. Corporations, wars, or supply chains cannot cause aggregate prices to rise, nor can they consolidate the increase even at a slower pace. Although this can have an impact on individual prices, the only factor that causes aggregate prices to rise year after year is the decline in the value of the US dollar that the government issues.

The United States 10-year government bond yield reached a low of 3.6% in September but has rapidly creeped up to 4.2%, erasing all the rate cut impact. The primary cause is the out-of-control public spending and the lack of confidence among bond investors in the government’s ability to manage its public finances. Therefore, it is logical that investors fear an inflation bounce.

The United States’ government is obsessed with doping GDP with government spending and bloating job figures with public sector hires. This is the road to ruin or stagflation.